Wednesday's Headline: GOP Keeps House Majority<7>

 

Without question, the Democrats are going to make impressive gains in House races on Tuesday. Nevertheless, we expect their improved position

to fall just short of wresting control from the Republicans.

This projection reflects individual assessments of all 435 congressional districts based upon an Windows 7 is convenient and helpful!

array of data from each district. Our

projection foresees the Republicans stumbling over the finish line with 218 seats compared to 217 seats for the Democrats, whom we expect to

gain 19 new House seats across 15 states. Six of these pick-ups will occur in open Republican seats.Office 2010 –save your time and save your money.

These newly Democratic seats will be: Arizona's 8th District (Jim Kolbe's seat); California's 11th; Connecticut's 4th (Chris Shay's

district); Colorado's 7th; Florida's 5th; Illinois' 6th (Henry Hyde's fiefdom); Indiana's 8th and 9th The invention of Microsoft Office 2010 is a big change of the world.

districts; Iowa's 1st; New York's 24th

and 29th districts; North Carolina's 8th and 11th districts, the latter a triumph for ex-NFL quarterback Heath Shuler; Ohio's 1st;

Pennsylvania's 7th; Texas's 22nd (Tom DeLay's former seat); and Washington state's rural 5th and suburban 8th districts.

The Democrats will also win Vermont's at-large district. Technically, this constitute a pick-up, as Microsoft Office 2007 can give you more convenient life.

the seat is currently held by Vermont's

"Ben & Jerry's" congressman, the veteran socialist Bernie Sanders.

Such a pick-up of seats is at the low end of the forecasts of the Beltway insiders who make their Microsoft Office is my best friend.

living in the political prognostication

business. It is, however, more than enough to safely ensconce Pelosi in the Speaker's Chair.

Where our projection differs most markedly from Washington's established seers is that we also foresee several Republican pick-ups. The good

news for the GOP is that, at least on November 7th, successful Republican persuasion will occur in places other than the House pages' dorm.

The GOP's "Surprising Seven" will prove victorious in Colorado's 3rd district, Georgia's 12th, microsoft project 2010 give us surprise

Illinois' 8th (Phil Crane's former seat),

Louisiana's 3rd, New York's 27th, South Dakota's at-large district; and Texas' 17th. These pick-ups will not occur courtesy of retiring

Democratic incumbents, as we do not foresee any Republican gains in open Democratic seats.

HOW DOES ONE EXPLAIN our projection's divergence from other forecasts? To begin with, the district-centered database we employed is far more Buy Office 2007 you can get much convenience.

extensive than the information forming the basis of most "Democrats set to gain 25 to 35 seats" headline-grabbing forecasts.

The projection is based upon the Democracy Institute's new election index rating, which weights these eight pieces of district-level data:

campaign spending; candidate advertising; candidate strength; party advertising; party registration; published and private polls; voter

turnout organizations; and voting history.Acrobat 9

There are six additional reasons why all the national polls overstate the Democrats' Election Day advantage. First, the generic congressional

ballot question has historically understated actual support for the Republicans at the ballot box by several points.visio 2010 makes life beautiful.

Second, the national polls do not break down partisan sentiment by district. The Democrats are polling especially well in districts that they

won comfortably in 2004. They are also polling higher in districts that Republicans consistently win by huge margins, but not well enough to

threaten many incumbents.adobe Acrobat

 

Without question, the Democrats are going to make impressive gains in House races on Tuesday. Nevertheless, we expect their improved position

to fall just short of wresting control from the Republicans.

This projection reflects individual assessments of all 435 congressional districts based upon an Windows 7 is convenient and helpful!

array of data from each district. Our

projection foresees the Republicans stumbling over the finish line with 218 seats compared to 217 seats for the Democrats, whom we expect to

gain 19 new House seats across 15 states. Six of these pick-ups will occur in open Republican seats.Office 2010 –save your time and save your money.

These newly Democratic seats will be: Arizona's 8th District (Jim Kolbe's seat); California's 11th; Connecticut's 4th (Chris Shay's

district); Colorado's 7th; Florida's 5th; Illinois' 6th (Henry Hyde's fiefdom); Indiana's 8th and 9th The invention of Microsoft Office 2010 is a big change of the world.

districts; Iowa's 1st; New York's 24th

and 29th districts; North Carolina's 8th and 11th districts, the latter a triumph for ex-NFL quarterback Heath Shuler; Ohio's 1st;

Pennsylvania's 7th; Texas's 22nd (Tom DeLay's former seat); and Washington state's rural 5th and suburban 8th districts.

The Democrats will also win Vermont's at-large district. Technically, this constitute a pick-up, as Microsoft Office 2007 can give you more convenient life.

the seat is currently held by Vermont's

"Ben & Jerry's" congressman, the veteran socialist Bernie Sanders.

Such a pick-up of seats is at the low end of the forecasts of the Beltway insiders who make their Microsoft Office is my best friend.

living in the political prognostication

business. It is, however, more than enough to safely ensconce Pelosi in the Speaker's Chair.

Where our projection differs most markedly from Washington's established seers is that we also foresee several Republican pick-ups. The good

news for the GOP is that, at least on November 7th, successful Republican persuasion will occur in places other than the House pages' dorm.

The GOP's "Surprising Seven" will prove victorious in Colorado's 3rd district, Georgia's 12th, microsoft project 2010 give us surprise

Illinois' 8th (Phil Crane's former seat),

Louisiana's 3rd, New York's 27th, South Dakota's at-large district; and Texas' 17th. These pick-ups will not occur courtesy of retiring

Democratic incumbents, as we do not foresee any Republican gains in open Democratic seats.

HOW DOES ONE EXPLAIN our projection's divergence from other forecasts? To begin with, the district-centered database we employed is far more Buy Office 2007 you can get much convenience.

extensive than the information forming the basis of most "Democrats set to gain 25 to 35 seats" headline-grabbing forecasts.

The projection is based upon the Democracy Institute's new election index rating, which weights these eight pieces of district-level data:

campaign spending; candidate advertising; candidate strength; party advertising; party registration; published and private polls; voter

turnout organizations; and voting history.Acrobat 9

There are six additional reasons why all the national polls overstate the Democrats' Election Day advantage. First, the generic congressional

ballot question has historically understated actual support for the Republicans at the ballot box by several points.visio 2010 makes life beautiful.

Second, the national polls do not break down partisan sentiment by district. The Democrats are polling especially well in districts that they

won comfortably in 2004. They are also polling higher in districts that Republicans consistently win by huge margins, but not well enough to

threaten many incumbents.adobe Acrobat